Probability Formulas
- Product rule: probability $P(A \wedge B)$ of a conjunction of two events
A and B: \[P(A \wedge B) = P(A\,|\,B) P(B) = P(B\,|\,A) P(A) \]
- Sum rule: probability of a disjunction of two events A and B:
\[P(A \vee B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \wedge B) \]
- Theorem of total probability: if events $A_{1}, \ldots, A_{n}$ are mutually exclusive with $\sum_{i = 1}^{n} P(A_{i}) = 1$, then
\[P(B) = \sum_{i = 1}^{n} P(B\,|\,A_{i}) P(A_{i})\]
José M. Vidal
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